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Scandi Watch: Assessing the path for SEK and NOK rates
2024-04-18
The Norwegian rate path is likely to look dovish in June in contrast to expectations. Here is our “cheat sheet” to assess the NOK rate path daily. At the same ...Crypto Moves #24 – Bitcoin Is A Safe Haven When There’s Nothing to Worry About
2024-04-18Bitcoin does not currently function as a safe haven. According to our quantitative model, it behaves more like a risk-on asset, similar to technology stocks. However, there is potential for ...EM Gold Rush: The pressure valve amid Asian FX debasement risks?
2024-04-17Asian FX weakness is back, and the USD/Gold correlation has turned positive. This begs the question: How does it rhyme with the continued surge higher in gold, and has something ...5 Things We Watch – Rates pricing, Bond positioning, Equities setback, USD Wrecking Ball & Inflation markets
2024-04-17Everything will be about central bank divergences going forward, as the Fed is looking to hold rates steady while ECB prepares to cut. How will it affect allocations, and what ...Free Macro Nugget: 2 charts for the inflation doves
2024-04-17Free Macro Nugget on 2 charts for the inflation doves. To read the full article, sign up for a 14-day FREE trial of the Basic, Premium or Crypto plan. Already a member? ...Positioning Watch – Volatility is back, but markets still lean into USD duration.. God knows why..
2024-04-16Volatility was more or less muted in the beginning of the year, but the cocktail of less dovish statements from Fed officials, strong economic data and the USD wreckingball has ...
Something for your Espresso: USD liquidity back in the driver’s seat
2024-04-18Our quant PCA tool flags USD liquidity as the most important macro driver so far in April, which is interesting given the ongoing tax season. The worst is probably already ...Something for your Espresso: “A lack of further progress so far this year on returning to our 2% inflation goal.”
2024-04-17Powell admitted to the lack of progress on inflation in recent months, but the implicit bias is still dovish. The debate is still centered around WHEN rates will come down, ...Something for your Espresso: More USD strength is coming!
2024-04-16The strong Chinese GDP numbers were overshadowed by a continued weakness in Asian FX trends. Energy and metals typically continue to perform in such an environment. To read the full ...
